I started following this breakout profile 3 years ago and it has seemed to hold up very well. Guys last year that fit this profile really well were the likes of Josh Bell, Ketel Marte, Trevor Story, Trea Turner, Michael Conforto, Kyle Schwarber, Tim Anderson, Max Kepler, Jorge Soler, Trey Mancini, Jorge Polanco and Miguel Sano. I targeted many of these players in my drafts last year and it paid off big time. The breakout profile can be a bit vague, and some guys fit it better than others, but all of these guys listed fit it last year. I have tweaked the profile a little bit over that past two years and have really zoned in on the profile that seems to really predict a breakout season. I HAVE 24 GUYS THIS YEAR! It just so happens that there are 12 in each the NL and AL, which is nice. This year I am going to put my predicted breakout numbers next to the players on my list. I am only going to list Batting AVG. Home Runs and Stolen Bases, since these are the easiest numbers to predict for breakouts. Now remember, like I have said in the past, I want to emphasize that these are players that fit the profile. Some of these players are not very good, some you can say they already had a “breakout” season, but the breakout profile predicts that these players will most likely have their best season to date. Some of these players, even with a “breakout” season coming, may be reserve player or NL/AL only type guys. Also, some of these guys that will be listed are a bit of a stretch to the profile (the ones that are lower on the list) and may fit the profile better next year. I will list the players first by their league, then in order of my confidence in the profile, and the confidence they will provide my projected stats. Of course these stats or predicted thinking that these players stay healthy and stay in the lineup. I did project some of these players stats assuming they may only have 400 AB’s compared to others that will have 600 AB’s. Counting stats like RBI’s and runs scored will be reflective as to where these players bat in the lineup and the team that they play on. Lets get to it!
NL
Paul Dejong .253/32/7
Rhys Hoskins .252/37/4
Amed Rosario .279/17/26
Brian Anderson .274/28/8
Dansby Swanson .259/21/15
Ozzie Albies .289/27/18
Scott Kingery .255/24/18
David Dahl .286/26/8
Brandon Nimmo .267/19/12
Jesse Winker .292/24/1
Ian Happ .267/22/10
Johan Camargo .276/22/2
AL
Matt Olson .272/44/4
Yoan Moncada .288/29/16
Joey Gallo .248/46/8
Byron Buxton .256/19/32
Matt Chapman .284/34/2
Mallex Smith .258/8/54
Rafael Devers .304/35/11
Manuel Margot .261/17/23
Teoscar Hernandez .243/31/9
Hunter Renfroe .245/35/4
Aaron Judge .287/39/7
Mark Canha .278/29/4
Go ahead and go win your league now!